Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000177 0.000197 0.000218 0.000242 0.000270 0.000300 0.000335
2025-02-16 0.000138 0.000166 0.000198 0.000239 0.000290 0.000350 0.000429
2025-02-23 0.000115 0.000146 0.000184 0.000236 0.000305 0.000394 0.000520
2025-03-02 0.000100 0.000133 0.000176 0.000238 0.000324 0.000442 0.000620
2025-03-09 0.000089 0.000123 0.000168 0.000237 0.000338 0.000485 0.000718
2025-03-16 0.000077 0.000110 0.000156 0.000227 0.000337 0.000503 0.000781
2025-03-23 0.000071 0.000103 0.000151 0.000228 0.000351 0.000546 0.000889
2025-03-30 0.000067 0.000101 0.000152 0.000237 0.000378 0.000611 0.001042
2025-04-06 0.000061 0.000094 0.000144 0.000232 0.000382 0.000638 0.001132
2025-04-13 0.000054 0.000085 0.000134 0.000220 0.000373 0.000643 0.001182
2025-04-20 0.000051 0.000082 0.000131 0.000221 0.000386 0.000688 0.001314
2025-04-27 0.000049 0.000080 0.000132 0.000227 0.000408 0.000751 0.001494
2025-05-04 0.000045 0.000075 0.000126 0.000223 0.000412 0.000782 0.001614
2025-05-11 0.000042 0.000072 0.000124 0.000225 0.000427 0.000837 0.001799
2025-05-18 0.000040 0.000068 0.000120 0.000223 0.000435 0.000879 0.001963
2025-05-25 0.000037 0.000066 0.000118 0.000224 0.000450 0.000939 0.002180
2025-06-01 0.000035 0.000063 0.000115 0.000224 0.000461 0.000990 0.002386
2025-06-08 0.000032 0.000059 0.000108 0.000214 0.000450 0.000992 0.002467
2025-06-15 0.000031 0.000057 0.000107 0.000215 0.000464 0.001052 0.002715
2025-06-22 0.000030 0.000056 0.000108 0.000223 0.000495 0.001157 0.003113
2025-06-29 0.000028 0.000053 0.000104 0.000219 0.000494 0.001186 0.003296
2025-07-06 0.000026 0.000050 0.000097 0.000208 0.000479 0.001172 0.003345
2025-07-13 0.000025 0.000048 0.000096 0.000209 0.000492 0.001238 0.003662